Heat pump vs gas furnace calculator: when does it pay off?

This heat pump vs gas furnace calculator shows whether switching pays off: enter your heat demand, energy prices, the heat pump’s seasonal efficiency, purchase cost and any incentive. You get running costs, cash outlay over the years and the year the heat pump becomes cheaper.

Source: Wikipedia – Coefficient of performance. Updated: .

kWh
Gas use from your bill in kWh (1 therm ≈ 29.3 kWh) times your furnace efficiency. Example: 20,000 kWh for a detached house.
%
Modern condensing furnaces reach about 90 to 98%, older ones less.
$ per kWh
$1.76 per therm ≈ $0.06 per kWh.
kWh of heat from 1 kWh of electricity over the year. Air-source heat pumps are often 2.5 to 4; the installer can give you a figure.
$ per kWh
$
Unit, labor, tank and upgrades as quoted.
$
Only enter what currently applies to your project – otherwise 0. The program office can tell you the amount and conditions.
$
Only if the old unit has to be replaced anyway. 0 = the existing one keeps running.
$
$
%
%
A possible rise from carbon pricing or network charges; 0 = price stays the same.
years
From 1 to 40 years.
My ToolboxYour inputs are saved in this browser only.

Heat pump vs gas furnace: cash outlayAfter 20 years: heat pump US$46,537, gas furnace US$44,942010k20k30k40k50k02468101214161820YearsUS$46,537Heat pumpUS$44,942Gas furnace

The chart updates as you type. Where the lines cross, the heat pump has paid for itself.

Result

Result
Over 20 years the heat pump costs US$46,537 (purchase and running costs), the gas furnace US$44,942. The gas furnace is US$1,595 cheaper.
Details
  • Energy cost in year one: heat pump US$1,133, gas furnace US$1,263.
  • In year one the heat pump saves US$180 on energy and maintenance.
  • Within 20 years the heat pump does not make up its higher purchase cost.
  • Cost per kWh of heat in year one: heat pump US$0.067, gas furnace US$0.076.
Cash outlay compared
YearsHeat pumpGas furnaceGas minus heat pump
1US$16,333US$7,513-US$8,820
2US$17,689US$9,064-US$8,625
3US$19,068US$10,654-US$8,414
5US$21,898US$13,956-US$7,942
10US$29,410US$22,981-US$6,429
15US$37,599US$33,243-US$4,356
20US$46,537US$44,942-US$1,595

How it is calculated

A heat pump pays off when the running costs it saves make up for its higher purchase price. The calculator shows after how many years that happens.

How it is calculated

What matters most

All values are your assumptions, not a forecast. Incentives and prices change – enter only what applies to you today. Your entries stay in your browser.

Frequently asked questions

When does a heat pump pay for itself?

When its cumulative cost (purchase plus running) drops below that of the gas furnace. That depends on incentives, electricity and gas prices and the seasonal efficiency; the calculator shows the year.

What is the seasonal efficiency (COP)?

It states how many kWh of heat a heat pump delivers from one kWh of electricity over the year. The higher, the cheaper to run. An installer can give you a figure for your home.

How do I find my heat demand?

Your yearly gas or oil use is on the bill; for gas, 1 therm is about 29.3 kWh. Multiply it by the efficiency of your current heating, e.g. 21,700 kWh × 0.92 ≈ 20,000 kWh of heat. Hot water is already included.

Do I have to enter an incentive?

No. Enter only what currently applies to your project; otherwise leave 0. The program office can tell you the amount.

Why does the gas price rise faster in the calculator?

Because carbon pricing and network charges can push gas up. The values are examples: set the increase to 0 to compare today’s prices only.

Are my entries private?

Yes. Everything is calculated in your browser; nothing is uploaded.

Sources and legal basis

As of: · Editorial policy

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